Welcome to earningsHub PRO, the premium edition for TMT professionals seeking clear and independent analysis of the financial moves shaping the digital economy.

In this issue:

  • Telecom rewards scale.

  • América Móvil shapes the map.

  • Fiber, 5G, and capex define quality.

  • Value creation is moving beyond subscriber growth.

In case you missed it:

Scale and Shifting Dynamics

Most telecom markets in Latin America feel brutally competitive. Prices are contested. Promotions are constant. Consumer loyalty is fragile.

But the regional revenue map tells a different story.

Once scale is plotted, the market stops looking like a crowded battlefield and starts looking like a hierarchy.

América Móvil $AMX ( ▲ 1.96% ) sits on a tier of its own, while the rest of the sector splits into a second layer of regional players, a third layer of national champions, and a final tier of domestic challengers.

That gap matters because, in telecom, scale is not just size. It is strategic freedom.

Biggest telecom operators in Latin America by FY 2025 revenue. Bubble size reflects revenue scale in USD. Enable external images to view.

That is the central tension shaping the sector in 2026.

Latin America remains fragmented country by country, but capital intensity keeps rewarding operators that can spread infrastructure, procurement, spectrum, and fixed costs across bigger footprints.

América Móvil generated roughly MXN 943.6 billion, about US$48 billion, in 2025. That is not just first place. It is structural separation.

Vivo $TEF ( ▼ 0.25% ) reached R$59.6 billion, Millicom $TIGO ( ▲ 0.47% ) generated US$5.82 billion, Liberty Latin America $LILA ( ▼ 0.13% ) US$4.44 billion, and TIM Brasil $TIMB ( ▲ 1.92% ) BRL 26.6 billion.

Even in a region full of competitive noise, the economic center of gravity remains concentrated.

The Scale Gravity Gap

The chart does more than rank operators. It exposes the region’s real strategic divide.

The key separation in Latin American telcos is between operators that can turn scale into strategic flexibility and those forced to compete with a narrower set of options.

That divide can be understood as the Scale Gravity Gap.

The Scale Gravity Gap is the widening distance between operators large enough to fund networks, absorb pricing pressure, shape bundles, and monetize infrastructure at scale, and those that must fight market by market with less room for error.

This helps explain why the sector can feel fragmented at the retail level while remaining concentrated in economic terms.

It also explains why the most consequential moves are often not the loudest ones.

The real contest is no longer just about adding users. It is about where capital goes, which assets remain strategic, and which operators can sustain both investment and discipline at the same time.

Operators without regional scale can still win. But they usually need sharper execution, more focused capital allocation, and a clearer identity. They cannot rely on size to absorb weak positioning or delayed decisions.

That is why the next phase of competition is likely to become more uneven, not less.

Growth is splitting the market

The 2025 numbers do not show a single regional growth story. They show separation.

América Móvil’s revenue rose about 8.6% in 2025. Vivo reached R$59.6 billion in 2025, up 6.7%, supported by 7.0% Q4 mobile service growth and 9.8% fiber broadband growth.

TIM Brasil reported BRL 26.6 billion, up 4.6%. Megacable reached MXN 35.43 billion, up 7.9%. By contrast, Millicom’s full-year revenue was US$5.82 billion, up just 0.2% on a reported basis, though Q4 accelerated to US$1.65 billion, up 15.7% year over year.

Liberty Latin America generated US$4.44 billion, essentially flat year over year, while improving profitability. Telecom Argentina posted ARS 8.33 trillion, up 53.8%, but that reflected both inflation and the inclusion of Telefónica Argentina.

Televisa moved the other way, with consolidated revenue down about 5.4% to MXN 58.9 billion as Sky continued to decline.

The more important signal sits beneath headline growth.

Operators showing healthier momentum are generally the ones with stronger exposure to mobile service, fiber broadband, and converged customer relationships. Vivo’s growth mix is a good example: mobile and fiber are carrying the model.

Televisa’s profile shows the opposite dynamic. Its cable and fiber operations added 46.9 thousand broadband customers in 2025, but that was not enough to offset the drag from Sky, which lost about 1.3 million RGUs.

The message is clear: growth is increasingly tied to portfolio quality, not just market presence.

Customer mix is moving in the same direction.

América Móvil added 2.8 million postpaid subscribers in Q4 while losing 0.3 million prepaid users. Millicom also highlighted continued prepaid-to-postpaid migration.

Entel Chile reported blended mobile ARPU of about US$5.94 in 4Q25, up 1.0% year over year, while prepaid ARPU rose 4.5% after a customer cleanup.

Televisa’s revamped MVNO reached 652.9 thousand mobile subscribers, including 318.9 thousand net adds in Q4 alone. These are not just commercial wins. They are indicators of revenue quality improving across parts of the sector.

Margins reinforce the same point.

América Móvil posted a Q4 EBITDA margin of 38.8%. Liberty Latin America delivered a full-year adjusted OIBDA margin of about 38%, while Millicom’s Q4 adjusted EBITDA reached 47% of revenue.

Televisa’s operating segment margin expanded to 39.1% in 2025 due to efficiency gains. In other words, even where top-line growth is modest, better mix and tighter execution are supporting profitability.

That is why 2025 looks less like a broad-based telecom rebound and more like a sorting process.

Some operators are building on cleaner engines of growth. Others are still offsetting legacy declines, inflation distortions, or portfolio drag. The region is not simply growing. It is differentiating.

Capital discipline is becoming strategy

Scale alone is no longer enough. The stronger signal is whether operators can keep investing while protecting cash flow and balance-sheet flexibility.

Vivo’s capex reached 15.6% of revenue in 2025. Liberty Latin America spent roughly 14%, down from 16% in 2024. América Móvil invested MXN 130.8 billion, or about 13.9% of revenue. Millicom’s full-year capex was about 12.4% of sales.

At the same time, financial quality improved. América Móvil’s free cash flow rose 39% and net debt to EBITDA fell to 1.52x. Millicom ended the year at 2.31x leverage.

That is the new regional playbook: keep building, but prove the network can increasingly fund itself.

What matters now

The surface of the market will remain noisy. Promotional intensity will continue. Competitive rhetoric will stay loud. New technology cycles will keep generating familiar headlines.

But the deeper structure is becoming easier to read.

Scale remains the region’s most durable advantage. Fiber is emerging as the clearest marker of strategic intent. Capex is no longer impressive on its own. What matters is whether that spending produces stronger cash flow, better customer mix, and a more defensible market position.

That shifts the scoreboard.

The next major winners in Latin American telecom may not be the operators with the fastest subscriber growth. They are more likely to be the ones that convert scale into lower unit costs, stronger bundle economics, better retention, and greater balance-sheet flexibility.

That is where the next phase of value creation is likely to come from.

Not from growth at any price. Not from network expansion alone. And not from the illusion that every market participant is playing with the same strategic room.

The more likely path is selective consolidation below the top tier, sharper asset monetization, and more disciplined portfolio choices. Some operators will keep building advantage. Others will keep defending position. A smaller group may be forced to rethink what they actually want to own.

For decision-makers, the implication is straightforward. Do not stop at subscriber adds or headline revenue growth.

Watch fiber penetration against homes passed. Watch capex as a share of revenue. Watch leverage, asset sales, and network-sharing agreements. Watch whether operators are improving the quality of their customer base, not just the size of it.

Keep the signal going

If this map changed how you think about telecom competition in Latin America, it will likely sharpen someone else’s view too.

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